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CCH® BENEFITS — 04/13/10

Health Savings Accounts Unlikely To Cover Retiree Health Costs

from Spencer’s Benefits Reports: Health savings accounts (HSAs) are likely to play a minor part in savings for health care costs in retirement, according to a report issued by the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI). That is because both statutory contribution limits and currently low interest rates constrain the amount HSAs are able to generate, compared with the large amount needed to pay for retiree health expenses.

The report, in the April 2010 EBRI Notes, evaluates the use of HSAs to generate savings needed to cover health insurance premiums and out-of-pocket expenses for health care services in retirement, using both estimated Medicare payments and earlier EBRI research on retiree health costs.

Based on current interest rates, if an individual age 55 in 2009 were to contribute $3,000 to his or her HSA and also contribute the $1,000 catch-up contribution each year for ten years, a total of $48,300 would be in the account after ten years at a 2% interest rate. And if the interest rate was 5%, $55,100 would be accumulated at the end of ten years.

However, as the EBRI analysis notes, such savings levels by themselves are inadequate to cover health costs in retirement:

• A man age 55 in 2009 would need between $144,000 and $290,000 by the time he reached age 65 in 2019 (depending upon his use of prescription drugs in retirement) to have a 50% chance of being able to cover premiums and out-of-pocket expenses for Medigap and Medicare Part D. Thus, a 55-year-old man would be able to use an HSA to accumulate between 16% and 32% of needed savings for insurance premiums and out-of-pocket expenses in retirement for a 50% chance of having enough savings.

• For a 90% chance, the maximum HSA savings would cover between 7% and 16% of the necessary savings amount. Women, who live longer than men on average, will need more.

“One of the difficulties in using an HSA to save money for premiums and out-of-pocket expenses during retirement is that contributions to the HSA are limited by law,” said Paul Fronstin of EBRI “As a result, the savings needed for retiree health care far exceed the savings potential of an HSA.”

Mr. Fronstin noted that individuals can (and may need to) use the money in the account to pay for health care services during their working years or to pay COBRA premiums and insurance premiums during periods of unemployment. Distributions from the HSA prior to becoming eligible for Medicare will erode the value of the account and create a bigger gap between needed savings and the amount of money that an HSA would have once a person retires.

The EBRI report notes that there are several options that individuals may have to save for retiree medical expenses, such as HSAs, health reimbursement arrangements (HRAs), retiree medical accounts (RMAs), and voluntary employee benefit associations (VEBAs). However, the report focuses only on HSAs because these are the only accounts that are always portable for the employee and owned by the employee.

The analysis notes that the present value of lifetime benefits from Medicare for a husband and wife turning age 65 in 2010 has been estimated at about $376,000. Since Medicare on average covers a little more than one-half of health care costs for beneficiaries, the average husband and wife will need a little less than $376,000 in savings to cover what is not covered by Medicare.

However, as previous EBRI research has shown, individuals cannot simply assume that they are average. While 50% of men turning age 65 in 2008 will live to age 81, and 50% of women will live to age 84, about 25% can be expected to live until ages 87 and 90, respectively. Furthermore, one out of ten men currently age 65 can expect to live until 91, while one out of ten women can expect to live to 95.

This means that a significant number of individuals will live far longer than the average for their gender, and uncertainty related to life expectancy and other factors makes saving for retirement increasingly complicated.

“This research shows that while HSAs can be used to save for health care expenses in retirement, the maximum savings that can be accumulated in an HSA will be far from sufficient to fully cover the savings needed in retirement for insurance premiums and out-of-pocket expenses,” Mr. Fronstin said.

For more information, visit http://www.ebri.org.

For more information on this and related topics, consult the CCH Pension Plan Guide, CCH Employee Benefits Management, and Spencer's Benefits Reports.

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